14. OBAMA STRIVES TO "CHANGE" AMERICA
|
| THE "NEW LOOK" |
Meanwhile
Iraqi "democracy" made little headway in resolving the Sunni anger at the loss of power to
the Shi'ites. The Nouri al-Maliki government continued to
represent the hard-core Shi'ites, despite American efforts to
promote the more moderate Ayad Allawi and his party – which had actually gained
a slightly larger vote in the March 2010 elections, although both groups were
unable to operate without going into coalition with other parties.
Anyway, Obama finally decided to simply leave
the Iraqis to their own fate. And as
soon as the Americans departed at the end of 2011 al-Maliki issued a warrant for the
arrest of the Iraqi Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi (a Sunni), who fled to Kurdistan to
avoid arrest. Thus with the American
departure, Iraqi politics was now allowed to take a more natural Middle Eastern
profile! So much for Bush's extremely expensive "democratic nation-building" in Iraq.
President Barack Obama shakes
hands with Iraqi Prime
Minister Nouri al-Maliki
after a joint press event
on Camp
Victory, Iraq, April 7, 2009.
Obama spoke to hundreds
of U.S.
troops during his surprise visit to Iraq to thank them for
their
service.
Supporters of Iraq's Sadr
movement hold a picture of al-Sadr
as they march in the Karada
district of central Baghdad
on May 31, 2010.
Iraqis examine the wreckage
of vehicles destroyed in a car
bombing in Kirkuk – August 2011
Although Iraq has passed the peak
of the violence that hit
its country in 2006 and 2007, the level of attacks
on the
civilian population by suicide bombers and by car bombs
parked along
busy intersections or markets remains high.
In July of 2011 259 people
were killed. On one day alone
in August (the 15th) 75 people were
killed in 8 different
attacks, the worst in Kut where 34 were killed, Najaf
where 19 were killed, and Baquba where 13 were killed.

But
increased deployment seemed to take on more the older Vietnam profile than the more recent
Iraq profile. Trying to run down the Taliban proved to be pointless,
largely because of the Taliban's ability to retreat into
Pakistan (where American soldiers dared not go) when the Taliban found itself hard pressed by
the American and European troops.
At
the same time, America's ally, Afghan President Karzai, saw it wiser to undertake
negotiations with the Taliban, shocking Americans who saw
in this some kind of betrayal of their alliance with his government. Obviously, those Americans had no idea
whatsoever about how Afghan politics worked, and had worked since time
immemorial!
Not
finding much success in his initial "surge," Obama in December (2009) announced
that he would be upping the American military presence in Afghanistan even
more, adding another 30,000 troops to the American force there. But facing growing opposition at home, he
also announced that he would be bringing all American troops home by the middle
of the next year. This strange
announcement only emboldened the Taliban even more – who, with the
promised departure of Western troops, were willing to wait out all of Obama's back and forth military
moves. And it put Karzai in an even tougher position in
trying to govern Afghanistan.
Oct. 20, 2010: President
Obama meets with his national security
team on Afghanistan and
Pakistan in the Situation Room.
At least four die from a
Taliban attack on guest house frequented by
foreigners in the formerly
quiet Kunduz province – August 2,
2011
| PAKISTAN ... AND BIN LADEN'S TAKEDOWN |
But
in the meantime American intelligence had discovered bin Laden's location in Pakistan
(less than a mile away from the Pakistani Military Academy) and on May 2, 2011,
sent two Black Hawk helicopters with a dozen Navy SEALS to take out the hated
enemy, and then fly bin Laden's body off to the Arabian
Sea to dump him there (after appropriate Muslim burial rites!). The Pakistanis were furious about this
violation of their country's territorial rights. But there was really little they could do at
that point.
And Obama came away from this risky event
looking very presidential! And thus also
ended a 10-year-old chapter in American life.
Aerial view of Osama bin
Laden's compound in the Pakistani
city of Abbottabad made by the CIA
Osama bin Laden's compound
at Abbottabad
Obama and the national security team
await updates
on bin Laden
| NATO TROOP DRAW-DOWN IN AFGHANISTAN |
| THE "ARAB SPRING" OF 2011 |
Troubles in the streets broke out in January of 2011, when
Tunisian youth came out in huge numbers to protest a broad number of social
issues that had them deeply angered.
With this, the "Arab Spring" got underway.
The
protest was characterized by much electronic connect through computers and cell
phones, and the active involvement of the media in dramatizing the event. By the middle of the month Tunisian President
Zine ben Ali had fled the country, and it seemed that the youth had achieved a
tremendous political victory, although street action continued all the way up
to October, when finally elections were held to appoint those who would write
Tunisia's new Constitution.
Zine El Abidine Ben Ali –
2008
President of Tunisia
(1987-2011)
"Out with Ben Ali" – 14 January
2011
Protesting unemployment
high food prices, corruption
Tunisian
Protesters
The "Second Revolution of
Anger" – people protesting in
Tahrir Square on 27 May 2011,
demanding food, jobs, and
punishment of the former government officials
Another round of protests
at Tahrir Square beginning the evening
of 28 June, 2011
But
hope ran high that elections under the new Egyptian constitution, held in May
the following year (2012), would produce the step of Egypt into the world of
democracy that Obama supported so strongly. In those elections, Muslim Brotherhood leader
Mohammed Morsi won 51.7 percent of the vote, his Secularist opponent Ahmed
Shafik coming close at 48.3 percent. Obama was enthusiastic about the
results and congratulated Morsi on this wonderful development. But a wiser Shafik left the country, just
before Morsi put out a warrant for his arrest.
So much for Third-World democracy.
The New Egyptian President,
Mohamed Morsi
His opponent Ahmed
Shafik. Shafiq flees the country ...
and chaos mounts in Egypt as Islamists battle Secularists
and Christian Copts.
By
June of 2013 tens of millions of Egyptians had taken to the
streets to protest the policies of Morsi ... and the chaos that was tearing Egypt
apart.

Then Syria.
Meanwhile by mid-March of 2011, the mood of youthful protest had moved
on to Syria, where protesters gathered in Damascus with their own list of
demands for political and economic reform.
But as in Egypt, the demands became increasingly confusing as they
intensified, some wanting more secular reform, others more Islamic reform, but
deeply divided as well over whether that should take a Shi'ite or Sunni character. Even more than Egypt, Syria was a complex mix
of all sorts of sectarian groups, not only Sunni versus Shiite Muslims, but also
Druzes (semi-Muslim), Christians (from various versions of Eastern Orthodox to
equally culturally diverse Catholic groups), not to mention long-standing
family, clan and tribal loyalties. And
of course there were a huge number of simply Secular Syrians, diverse in
character as well.
A pro-Assad student
rally at Tishreen University, Latakia, Syria

Thousands continue to take
to the streets across Syria,
despite the bloody crackdown on protests. Activists say that
thousands
of civilians have been killed by security forces.
Then Libya.
There was also the matter of Libya, where the "Arab Spring" had hit that
country in February. Actually, in Libya
the rebellion involved no more than a rivalry between the two chief cultural
regions that made up the country, regions that had long competed against each
other in that part of North Africa (Libya was assembled as a "nation"
by the Italians in the early 1900s by lumping these mutually antagonistic
regions into a single colonial holding).
Thus the Arab Spring in Libya entailed simply
a civil struggle between the groups, one found mostly in the eastern part of
the country with its political center in Benghazi and one in the western part
of the country with its political base in Tripoli. Libyan President Muammar Gaddafi held this together by
building a strong political base in Tripoli, and keeping the country focused on
foreign developments – which Gaddafi involved himself in
constantly (and rather flamboyantly and recklessly) in order to keep his people
distracted.
Muammar al-Gaddafi – President of Libya (1969
- 2011)
at the
12th AU summit, February 2, 2009, in Addis Ababa
(Green) Cities controlled
by pro-Gaddafi forces (as of July 1, 2011);
(Brown) Cities controlled
by anti-Gaddafi forces (supported
by coalition forces)
Wikipedia – "2011
Libyan civil war"
The International Criminal
Court has accused Gaddafi of crimes
against humanity
and of ordering attacks
on civilians
Forces loyal to Gaddafi ... located mostly in the western portions
of the country
Forces opposing Gaddafi at Brega
(the eastern portion of the country)
A NATO airstrike directed at the pro-Gaddafi forces
At news that Gaddafi was
losing his grip on power, celebrations
erupted in cities across Libya
Libyan citizens hold a Kingdom
of Libya flag as they attend
the Arab League meeting in its headquarters
in Cairo
Libya's National Transitional
Council is led by Mustafa
Abdel-Jalil, Gaddafi's former justice minister
(Mahmoud
Jibril, Chairman
of the NTC's Executive Board, is
another key NTC leader)
Obama warning Syria not to cross
a "Red Line" in using
But
unlike Libya, Obama's intervention did not tip the
balance in favor of a "democratic" group able to bring the war to a
close by crushing Assad and his supporters.
The intervention simply intensified the violence all the more. A year later (September 10, 2013) Obama goes
before the nation Worse, Sunni jihadists who were escaping Shi'ite dominance in Iraq, were able
because of the total chaos prevailing in Syria not only to position themselves
in the eastern half of the country bordering the Sunni lands of Iraq, but were even
able to set up a new caliphate (Sunni Islam's highest religious-political
office) as the nucleus of a new jihadist Islamic State, from which they could
then cleanse the earth of unbelievers. The new Caliph Abu Bakr
al-Baghdadi in Mosul (mid-2014) Civilians fleeing ISIS control
Obama decided to "help"
Syria (like the help offered Libya), demanding in August that Assad step down
in order to allow his country to move to actual democracy (like Iraq?). He was even more forceful in threatening
Assad with "serious consequences" if he crossed a "red line"
in the illegal use of chemical weapons and certain categories of bombs in his
efforts to crush the rebellion. But
Assad was too busy trying to stop Syria's collapse into complete chaos to pay
much attention to Obama's threats, and simply ignored
them. An embarrassed Obama ultimately came up with no
compelling "consequences" and had to backtrack on his threats, prompting Putin to agree to step into the mess
and help "mediate" between Obama and Assad. But instead Putin moved to full support of Assad,
at the same time that Obama (in cooperation with the
Saudis) began sending arms, even tanks, to one of Assad's Sunni opposition groups.[1]
illegal (chemical/biological) weapons (August 20,
2012)
with a special televised address concerning the situation in Syria
... and
America's need to step into that situation
to straighten things out.
control of Mosul - 2014

They
claimed that out
of the chaos of Syria (and a highly The beheading of men and stoning of women
became the
lines
connecting vital parts of northern Iraq and Eastern Syria
... and were
trying to reach into Kurdish territory in the
Iraqi
northeast.
disenchanted Sunni Iraq in the
country's northwest) they
were going to build a new social order
founded on the
strictest rules of the Islamic faith. They would
"cleanse" the
society of anyone not submitting to this new regime of
Shari'a (Muslim law).
hallmark of the new regime, graphically presented in video
streaming ... making their point ... and attracting a huge
number of
disenchanted Muslim youth (from even America
and Europe ... as
well as the Middle East and Africa) who
wanted to be part of such a
major event
as the restoration
of the Caliphate.

Roman ruins at Palmyra leveled by ISIS (August 2015)
The world was shocked when ISIS displayed pictures of the
1900-year-old Roman Temple of Bel in Syria that they had
just systematically destroyed
enemies ...
and
woo budding jihadists into joining the movement
(March
2015)
At the same time Iraqi forces (heavily Shi'te) strike
back
As
for the vast majority of the Syrians, they now found themselves
with only one serious alternative if they were to survive at all: flee to other countries where they could live
out at least a very minimal existence in refugee camps, or, if really lucky,
possibly escape into Europe. Millions of
Syrians now took flight. Syria was no
longer a place fit for human habitation, thanks in great part to all the
outside "help" the culturally-diverse country was getting. A Syrian refugee camp in Lebanon – part of the 1.4 million Many other Syrians have simply taken to the road ... trying
the
right is an 11-year-old English boy)
where they can ... in an attempt to retake territory seized by
(Sunni)
ISIS.
Syrians driven from
their homes as of April 2013. By 2017
that number will reach 7
million.
All
of this merely increased the desperate flow of refugees
... particularly
out of Syria where ISIS was extremely cruel to
non-Sunni Arabs
(including many Christians). This of course
presented a
major problem to the surrounding countries ...
which did not want to take on the burden of a massive
number of impoverished
refugees.

August 2013 – Refugees heading toward Iraqi
Kurdistan
destroyed
cities
By 2015
fully 25% of the population of Lebanon was made up
of Syrian refugees and 20% of the
Jordanian population ...
with huge numbers of Syrians scattered all around the
countries bordering on Syria ... and even beyond.
to reach well
beyond the Syrian borders ... even to Europe

Others
passed on through the Balkans ... but got stopped
at the Hungarian border, which had put up barriers to stop
the flow of refugees into Hungary
(2015)
Yet,
with Russian and Iranian help, Assad was surviving. And indeed, both Russia and Iran now found
themselves positioned politically in a very strategic location along the
Eastern Mediterranean coast.
Furthermore, a very violent form of Islam found itself well-based in the
wastes of Eastern Syria and Northwestern Iraq, ready to take on the world. And as for America, Obama had succeeded only in making
America politically a persona non grata (unwanted personage) in what was left
of life back in Syria.
[1]Obama's
Saudi allies were of course totally uninterested in seeing Obama-style
democracy (whatever that actually meant under the complex cultural
circumstances of Syria) put in place in Syria, but instead a strong Sunni
government that would replace Assad's Shi'ite Ba'athist government.
BENGHAZI

With national elections coming up soon (that November) and
expectations that the Republicans would run big with the story of the huge
blunder, Obama answered by announcing the
departure of a number of State Department officials, and that Secretary of
State Hillary Clinton would be stepping
down at the beginning of 2013, with Senator John Kerry taking over her position.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
at Congressional
hearings held in 2015 as to what went wrong in Benghazi
| GROWING PROBLEMS WITH PUTIN'S RUSSIA |
Thus
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
presented Russian
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov with a "reset"
button,
signifying the new Obama approach to Russian- American
relations (actually the Russian word used was "overload,"
startling Lavrov ...
until the confusion could be cleared
up!) – March 6th 2009

But
this was just the beginning of troubles in the Eastern
areas around
Donetsk and Luhansk ... when the Ukrainian
government fought to retake
the rebel provinces which in
mid-March had voted to join Russia ...
though only Crimea
was annexed formally.
Putin arriving in the newly-seized Crimean naval base at
Sevastopol ... saluted by Russian naval officers for his
bold action.
| GROWING PROBLEMS WITH XI'S CHINA |
At
the same time, Chinese dollar earning from Chinese trade grew so vast that
China was able not only to keep its huge workforce employed and allow the
country to purchase scarce resources (such as oil) in which it was lacking, it
enabled the Chinese to invest abroad in the production and sale of not only
scare resources it needed, but also that the world needed. China was slowly putting itself in a position
of market control of various strategic products, as well as bringing a lot of
Third World countries into dependency on this Chinese economic "assistance."
The West was quickly losing diplomatic as well as economic leverage abroad to
the Chinese.
Furthermore,
with America running up a huge debt – accelerated greatly under Bush, Jr., but continuing at the same
rate under Obama – China was able to purchase
huge portions of that American debt, which placed America as a debtor nation
even more deeply in a state of dependency on China and its economic
policies.
Obama tried to renegotiate the
economic relationship with Xi Jinping's Chinese government ...
especially on this matter of currency subsidies which were resulting in a
one-way trade program which had Chinese goods flooding America (and the West) –
with no significant amount of trade moving in the opposite direction. Understandably, Xi was not interested in changing the
arrangement. And ultimately, short of
some serious muscle applied to China – which was not Obama's style – there was little that
China would be willing to do to adjust the situation. And so things went.
Then
there was this matter of Obama's proudly proclaimed "Pivot
to Asia," in which America would shift some of its diplomatic attention to
Asia – thus strengthening America's relations with Japan, South Korea, Taiwan,
Australia, etc. Obama affirmed that this Pivot was
also intended to improve relations with China as well. But Xi did not see things this way,
interpreting this as a move merely to put America in a better bargaining
position in its relations with China.
Anyway, Xi had his own "pivot" in
mind for Asia: his claim that the South China Sea, bordered by many
Asian countries, was in fact Chinese territorial waters, not "high seas"
as America (and the rest of the world) claimed.
To support this claim, Xi ordered the dredging of coral
reefs in the Spratly Islands (close to the Philippines) in order to create new
islands whose political goal was kept mysterious, until it finally became apparent
that these were to be Chinese naval and air bases, positions from which Chinese
sovereignty over the entire sea could be enforced.
To
enforce these territorial claims, the Chinese in 2015
begin to dredge
the waters surrounding a number of coral
reefs located in the South
China Sea

In
2014 the Philippines challenged China at the Permanent Court of Arbitration at
The Hague in the Netherlands, resulting in a decision in the Philippines'
favor. But Xi had no interest in bowing to such
international authority. To Xi, the South China Sea was Chinese, and it
would remain that way.
[2]Also the fact that the Chinese were refusing to respect international
trademark rights and were producing cheap copies of more expensive Western
goods – as well as stealing patent information on products brought into being
in the West through costly research and development – was producing in the West
growing bitterness about Chinese economic policies.
In 2016 America conducted naval exercises there in
order to confirm the South China Sea as international waters. But in the end it did nothing to change the
fact that China was fast establishing itself as the dominator of the
region. Obama could, of course, have dredged and built his own
militarized islands in the area – to enforce the understanding that the area
belonged neither to China or anyone else.
But in the end, Obama did nothing. The "Pivot to Asia" –
like so much of Obama's diplomacy – came with no muscle.
"IMPROVED" RELATIONS WITH
THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC OF IRAN
In
any case, since the Iranian Revolution against the Shah in 1979 and the coming to power
of the militant Shi'ite Muslim religious party led by
the country's ayatollahs, American relations with Iran had been very negative, especially
under Iran's constant theme of "death to the Great Satan America." Things would remain tense between Iran and Obama's America, especially with the
2009 reelection of the fiercely conservative Muslim President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad, and the outcry by many (both in and outside of Iran itself) that
those elections been conducted very corruptly. Obama thus continued the American
boycott of Iran and its oil sales (Iran's almost sole international income
earner), because of Ahmadinejad's brutal hand in putting down the
demonstrations against him that were rocking Iran at the time.
But
in 2013, Iran succeeded in electing a more "moderate" Muslim cleric
Hassan Rouhani as the country's president, who indicated that he wanted to
explore the possibilities of improving Iranian-American relations. The response of both Obama and the other leaders of the
West was highly positive. And in 2015
negotiators (Secretary of State Kerry directing the American team)
sat down to work out a deal to reopen (gradually) economic and diplomatic
relations with Iran, including the gradual releasing of Iran's frozen bank
funds held abroad, provided that Iran place its nuclear development under
certain internationally monitored limitations guaranteed to keep this
development from producing weapons-grade nuclear material.



Miles
H. Hodges